Northern Virginia 5-3 Annapolis Blues — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
19%
3.72
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.1
Over 2.5
70%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.1pp
19%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
30%
Under 2.5
44%
-13.5pp
70%
Over 2.5
56%
+13.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Annapolis Blues EU Bookmakers 27%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-16% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
325 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Annapolis Blues
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Northern Virginia saw off Annapolis Blues 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Northern Virginia as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 5-3 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Annapolis Blues?

Northern Virginia 5-3 Annapolis Blues in the USA - USL League 2 on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Annapolis Blues?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 56%, draw 19%, Annapolis Blues 25%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Northern Virginia), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Northern Virginia) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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