Tennessee 3-2 Birmingham Legion II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 10 Jul 2025

📅10/07/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.56
No
54%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.5pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+1.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-13.8pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+13.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tennessee EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Birmingham Legion II EU Bookmakers 27%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
2.54/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/2.00
+18% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -7%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
394 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tennessee
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Birmingham Legion II
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 3
6 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 0
02.07.2024 Birmingham Legion II Birmingham Legion II 1-3 HT 1-3 Tennessee Tennessee USL2
21.05.2024 Tennessee Tennessee 2-0 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion II Birmingham Legion II USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tennessee
3-2
AWAY Birmingham Legion II
39% Ball Possession 61%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Tennessee vs Birmingham Legion II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tennessee squeezed past Birmingham Legion II 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tennessee as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Tennessee had 39% of the ball to Birmingham Legion II's 61%, shots finished 15-13.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tennessee had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Tennessee and 0.50 for Birmingham Legion II.

What was the final score of Tennessee vs Birmingham Legion II?

Tennessee 3-2 Birmingham Legion II in the USA - USL League 2 on 10/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tennessee vs Birmingham Legion II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tennessee win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Tennessee 51%, draw 25%, Birmingham Legion II 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tennessee) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tennessee) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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