AEgir 3-4 HK Kopavogur — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 1st Division, 10 Jul 2026

📅10/07/2026 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.87
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
53%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
28%
Over 2.5
72%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.33
No
28%
3.05
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
22%
+2.8pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.2pp
53%
Away Win
58%
-4.8pp
72%
BTTS Yes
71%
+0.3pp
28%
BTTS No
29%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AEgir EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY HK Kopavogur EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
2.18/1.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.77/2.23
+74% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
354 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AEgir
0W-0D-4L
AWAY HK Kopavogur
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 1
01.05.2026 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-1 HT 1-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
07.03.2026 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 2-1 AEgir AEgir İZLK
27.08.2022 AEgir AEgir 1-3 HT 0-1 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur İZL1
23.06.2022 HK Kopavogur HK Kopavogur 3-1 HT 0-0 AEgir AEgir İZL1
POST-MATCH AEgir vs HK Kopavogur
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

HK Kopavogur nicked a narrow win over AEgir 4-3 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had HK Kopavogur as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (72%), both teams to score (72%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, HK Kopavogur led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AEgir and 2.50 for HK Kopavogur.

What was the final score of AEgir vs HK Kopavogur?

AEgir 3-4 HK Kopavogur in the Iceland - 1st Division on 10/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AEgir vs HK Kopavogur?

Before kick-off our model rated an HK Kopavogur win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split AEgir 25%, draw 22%, HK Kopavogur 53%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (HK Kopavogur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (HK Kopavogur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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