Changchun YaTai 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
28%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
4.1
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
21%
3.07
6+ Goals
10%
9.78
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.1 — our 30% vs market 19.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.25
1/2
6%
28.5
1/X
10%
12.2
X/1
19%
5.41
X/2
11%
6.26
X/X
11%
4.96
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
4.0
2/X
8%
12.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
41%
+2.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
33%
-4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 37%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
1.61/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.65
+1% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +141%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 79%
23.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
17.4 Crosses 17.5
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Changchun YaTai
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 2.06
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
240 Passes 404
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.04.2024 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 0-0 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
04.11.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-4 HT 1-4 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
08.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
30.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.09.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Changchun YaTai
2-0
AWAY Wuhan Three Towns
1.01 xG 0.72
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 9
240 Passes 436
76% Pass Accuracy 87%
14 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 36
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changchun YaTai got the better of Wuhan Three Towns 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Changchun YaTai as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Changchun YaTai had 38% of the ball to Wuhan Three Towns's 62%, shots finished 6-12, expected goals 1.01 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Changchun YaTai and 2.00 for Wuhan Three Towns.

What was the final score of Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Changchun YaTai 2-0 Wuhan Three Towns in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Changchun YaTai vs Wuhan Three Towns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Changchun YaTai win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Changchun YaTai 43%, draw 29%, Wuhan Three Towns 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changchun YaTai), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changchun YaTai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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