Wuhan Three Towns 0-0 Changchun YaTai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒14:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.61
Draw
32%
3.8
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.7
2-3 Goals
44%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
3.28
6+ Goals
10%
11.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.06
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
14%
15.8
X/1
17%
3.82
X/2
12%
10.1
X/X
15%
5.59
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
6%
7.81
2/X
3%
16.4
Value flag · 1/X at 15.8 — our 14% vs market 3.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
58%
-12.6pp
32%
Draw
23%
+8.7pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wuhan Three Towns EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Changchun YaTai EU Bookmakers 22%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.69/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.73
+54% / -52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.9
18.9 Crosses 16.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Changchun YaTai
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.18 xG 1.35
59% Ball Possession 41%
19 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
387 Passes 242
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
28 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 3-4 HT 1-4 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
08.07.2023 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-1 HT 0-0 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİNSL
30.11.2022 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 HT 0-1 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai ÇİN
20.09.2022 Changchun YaTai Changchun YaTai 1-2 HT 0-1 Wuhan Three Towns Wuhan Three Towns ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wuhan Three Towns
0-0
AWAY Changchun YaTai
1.59 xG 0.02
64% Ball Possession 36%
20 Total Shots 1
6 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
471 Passes 234
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 2
30 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wuhan Three Towns vs Changchun YaTai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wuhan Three Towns and Changchun YaTai fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Wuhan Three Towns at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Wuhan Three Towns had 64% of the ball to Changchun YaTai's 36%, shots finished 20-1, expected goals 1.59 to 0.02.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Wuhan Three Towns had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Wuhan Three Towns and 2.00 for Changchun YaTai.

What was the final score of Wuhan Three Towns vs Changchun YaTai?

Wuhan Three Towns 0-0 Changchun YaTai in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wuhan Three Towns vs Changchun YaTai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wuhan Three Towns win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Wuhan Three Towns 45%, draw 32%, Changchun YaTai 23%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wuhan Three Towns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ÇİN More China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League
20 Apr 2024
10:30 Shandong Taishan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions Analysis →
15:00 Nantong Zhiyun vs Shanghai Shenhua Analysis →