Shandong Taishan 4-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 20 Apr 2024

📅20/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.43
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
19%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
33%
2.96
Over 2.5
67%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.53
No
39%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
7.07
2-3 Goals
38%
2.2
4-5 Goals
30%
2.45
6+ Goals
18%
4.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.68
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
18%
3.98
X/2
8%
14.15
X/X
8%
8.0
2/1
6%
18.6
2/2
8%
9.18
2/X
6%
17.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-6.1pp
22%
Draw
19%
+2.8pp
19%
Away Win
16%
+3.4pp
33%
Under 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
67%
Over 2.5
70%
-2.6pp
61%
BTTS Yes
61%
+0.2pp
39%
BTTS No
39%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shandong Taishan EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.50/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.96
+14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -37%
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
434 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
27.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
25.1 Crosses 12.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shandong Taishan
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.95 xG 0.93
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
494 Passes 262
88% Pass Accuracy 76%
31 Box Touches 11
25 Crosses 10
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 4-0 HT 0-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
14.05.2023 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
30.11.2022 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-3 HT 0-2 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
12.08.2022 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 HT 0-2 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
11.08.2021 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan 2-1 HT 2-0 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions ÇİN
21.07.2021 Cangzhou Mighty Lions Cangzhou Mighty Lions 0-2 HT 0-1 Shandong Taishan Shandong Taishan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shandong Taishan
4-1
AWAY Cangzhou Mighty Lions
4.02 xG 0.68
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
639 Passes 247
91% Pass Accuracy 77%
44 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 11
POST-MATCH Shandong Taishan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shandong Taishan cruised past Cangzhou Mighty Lions 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Shandong Taishan as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (67%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Shandong Taishan had 69% of the ball to Cangzhou Mighty Lions's 31%, shots finished 24-10, expected goals 4.02 to 0.68.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shandong Taishan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Shandong Taishan and 0.83 for Cangzhou Mighty Lions.

What was the final score of Shandong Taishan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Shandong Taishan 4-1 Cangzhou Mighty Lions in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 20/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shandong Taishan vs Cangzhou Mighty Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shandong Taishan win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Shandong Taishan 59%, draw 22%, Cangzhou Mighty Lions 19%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shandong Taishan), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Shandong Taishan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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