Stirling Albion 0-1 Elgin City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.07
Over 2.5
45%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.63
No
53%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
10%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 27% vs market 20.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
25%
Away Win
28%
-2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+10.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-10.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.2pp
53%
BTTS No
43%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Elgin City EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
2.05/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.80
+26% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -30%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
356 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Elgin City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
04.04.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 1-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
01.04.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-3 HT 0-2 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
23.12.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 1-2 HT 0-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
06.08.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 2-2 HT 0-2 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.04.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
26.02.2022 Elgin City Elgin City 3-1 HT 2-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Elgin City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City edged past Stirling Albion 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Stirling Albion at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stirling Albion had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stirling Albion and 1.33 for Elgin City.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Elgin City?

Stirling Albion 0-1 Elgin City in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Elgin City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stirling Albion win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 48%, draw 26%, Elgin City 25%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Stirling Albion) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stirling Albion) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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