Spartans 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
31%
3.72
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.73
No
55%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.68
2-3 Goals
36%
1.82
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
13%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 29% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.4pp
31%
Draw
23%
+7.2pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+7.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-7.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.6pp
55%
BTTS No
46%
+8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spartans EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +10%
1.66/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/0.97
-14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Spartans
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
20.04.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 0-1 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İK2
05.03.2024 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-2 HT 1-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
24.02.2024 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
30.09.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-2 HT 0-1 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic İK2
POST-MATCH Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spartans beat Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Spartans as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Spartans had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Spartans and 1.25 for Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic.

What was the final score of Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Spartans 2-0 Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spartans vs Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Spartans 43%, draw 31%, Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spartans), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Spartans) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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