Rangers 2-1 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.22
Draw
18%
5.71
Away
19%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
2.63
Over 2.5
70%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.96
No
40%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
6.12
2-3 Goals
35%
2.08
4-5 Goals
30%
2.56
6+ Goals
19%
5.63
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.35
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
28.5
X/1
21%
3.46
X/2
7%
27.0
X/X
7%
10.1
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.3
2/2
6%
20.0
2/X
5%
27.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.3 — our 12% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
77%
-13.8pp
18%
Draw
14%
+3.5pp
19%
Away Win
8%
+10.2pp
30%
Under 2.5
34%
-4.6pp
70%
Over 2.5
66%
+4.6pp
60%
BTTS Yes
47%
+13.4pp
40%
BTTS No
53%
-13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rangers EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 11%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +27%
2.57/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/2.01
-2% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +32%
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
515 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 73%
41.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
29.6 Crosses 15.1
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rangers
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Motherwell
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.26 xG 0.58
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
439 Passes 186
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.03.2024 Rangers Rangers 1-2 HT 0-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
24.12.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 0-2 HT 0-2 Rangers Rangers İKP
24.09.2023 Rangers Rangers 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
18.03.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 2-4 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP
28.12.2022 Rangers Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
16.10.2022 Motherwell Motherwell 1-2 HT 0-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rangers
2-1
AWAY Motherwell
3.30 xG 0.71
68% Ball Possession 32%
19 Total Shots 7
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
518 Passes 199
86% Pass Accuracy 70%
41 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Rangers vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rangers squeezed past Motherwell 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rangers as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (70%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Rangers had 68% of the ball to Motherwell's 32%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 3.30 to 0.71 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Rangers's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rangers had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Rangers and 0.83 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Rangers vs Motherwell?

Rangers 2-1 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rangers vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Rangers 63%, draw 18%, Motherwell 19%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rangers), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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