Dundee FC 3-1 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.07
Over 2.5
56%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
27%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.3
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
1/X
4%
12.5
X/1
13%
6.54
X/2
12%
5.19
X/X
16%
4.89
2/1
7%
30.0
2/2
19%
3.1
2/X
6%
12.3
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.4pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.4pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +2%
1.26/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.29
+20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -6%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 74%
19.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
19.9 Crosses 19.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hearts
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.92 xG 1.66
37% Ball Possession 63%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
216 Passes 434
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 22
4 Yellow Cards 1
11.05.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-0 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
03.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
23.01.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
09.02.2022 Hearts Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
18.12.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
3-1
AWAY Hearts
1.51 xG 1.52
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 10
159 Passes 288
60% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 29
8 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dundee FC beat Hearts 3-1. Half-time: 3-0.

Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Dundee FC had 40% of the ball to Hearts's 60%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.51 to 1.52.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee FC and 1.83 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Hearts?

Dundee FC 3-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 33%, draw 26%, Hearts 41%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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