Hearts 3-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 May 2024

Hearts
3-0 HT 1-0
Dundee FC
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Hearts vs Dundee FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.6
2-3 Goals
37%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.87
6+ Goals
15%
8.16
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.07
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.7
X/1
22%
4.09
X/2
7%
9.95
X/X
11%
6.04
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
20.65
2/2
8%
7.02
2/X
7%
15.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.65 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
56%
+0.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.0pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.8pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Hearts v Dundee FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+5% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -8%
1.79/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.37
+19% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -3%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
377 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 69%
30.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
24.5 Crosses 18.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.3

Hearts vs Dundee FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Dundee FC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.50 xG 0.87
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
434 Passes 176
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Box Touches 18
25 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 2-3 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
23.01.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
09.02.2022 Hearts Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
18.12.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
23.10.2021 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP

Hearts 3-0 Dundee FC — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
3-0
AWAY Dundee FC
2.44 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
445 Passes 356
87% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 25
10 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts cruised past Dundee FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hearts had 54% of the ball to Dundee FC's 46%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 2.44 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hearts and 1.33 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Hearts 3-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Hearts 57%, draw 23%, Dundee FC 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
11 May 2024
14:30 Celtic vs Rangers Analysis →
17:00 St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Analysis →
17:00 Ross County vs Motherwell Analysis →