Ross County 1-5 Motherwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 May 2024

Ross County
1-5 HT 1-2
Motherwell
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Ross County vs Motherwell Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.86
Over 2.5
51%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.31
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.57
6+ Goals
12%
14.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.57 — our 25% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.1
1/2
7%
32.5
1/X
8%
13.4
X/1
11%
4.83
X/2
10%
6.29
X/X
12%
4.7
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
18%
4.48
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.8pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ross County v Motherwell — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ross County EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Motherwell EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.20/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.23
+5% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
320 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 65%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
20.9 Crosses 20.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0

Ross County vs Motherwell Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ross County
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Motherwell
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.69
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
232 Passes 234
66% Pass Accuracy 66%
21 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
06.02.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 5-0 HT 3-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
05.12.2023 Ross County Ross County 3-0 HT 2-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
28.10.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 3-3 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
20.05.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-0 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
04.03.2023 Ross County Ross County 0-2 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
14.01.2023 Motherwell Motherwell 1-1 HT 0-0 Ross County Ross County İKP
POST-MATCH Ross County vs Motherwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell swept aside Ross County 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Motherwell made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ross County and 2.00 for Motherwell.

What was the final score of Ross County vs Motherwell?

Ross County 1-5 Motherwell in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ross County vs Motherwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ross County win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ross County 37%, draw 29%, Motherwell 34%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ross County) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ross County) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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