Celtic 2-1 Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 May 2024

Celtic
2-1 HT 2-1
Rangers
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Celtic vs Rangers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.38
Over 2.5
49%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.53
No
52%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
4.99
2-3 Goals
40%
1.95
4-5 Goals
22%
2.76
6+ Goals
11%
7.29
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.99 — our 27% vs market 15.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.3
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
20%
4.49
X/2
9%
8.79
X/X
9%
5.82
2/1
8%
20.8
2/2
8%
5.81
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
52%
+0.9pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
38%
+12.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
62%
-12.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.6pp
52%
BTTS No
39%
+13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celtic v Rangers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rangers EU Bookmakers 28%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.18/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.08
+14% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 73%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.7
14.6 Crosses 18.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0

Celtic vs Rangers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Rangers
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.20 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 299
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.04.2024 Rangers Rangers 3-3 HT 0-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
30.12.2023 Celtic Celtic 2-1 HT 1-0 Rangers Rangers İKP
03.09.2023 Rangers Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
13.05.2023 Rangers Rangers 3-0 HT 2-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
30.04.2023 Rangers Rangers 0-1 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKK
08.04.2023 Celtic Celtic 3-2 HT 1-1 Rangers Rangers İKP

Celtic 2-1 Rangers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
2-1
AWAY Rangers
2.81 xG 1.02
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 5
481 Passes 170
87% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 15
16 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Celtic vs Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic edged past Rangers 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Celtic had 67% of the ball to Rangers's 33%, shots finished 22-8, expected goals 2.81 to 1.02 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Celtic's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Celtic and 1.50 for Rangers.

What was the final score of Celtic vs Rangers?

Celtic 2-1 Rangers in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Celtic 53%, draw 24%, Rangers 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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