St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
St. Mirren v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
St. Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock shaded a tight game against St. Mirren 1-0 on the road.
Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; Kilmarnock found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — under 2.5 goals (60%) came home.
Under the surface, St. Mirren had 62% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 38%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.84 to 1.44.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Mirren and 1.50 for Kilmarnock.
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Result & Final Score
St. Mirren 0 - 1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split St. Mirren 39%, draw 33%, Kilmarnock 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (St. Mirren) went the other way.