Kilmarnock 5-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
34%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
16%
5.93
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.95
1/2
9%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.65
X/1
18%
4.21
X/2
15%
7.28
X/X
12%
3.45
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
10%
6.37
2/X
7%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.3pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+9.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-3.6pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+3.6pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.8pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 28%
+2% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.37/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
+3% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +5%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
308 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 278 · 73%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.4 Crosses 26.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
2W-4D-0L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.15 xG 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
243 Passes 226
65% Pass Accuracy 64%
24 Box Touches 16
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.12.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-1 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
30.09.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
22.04.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-2 HT 0-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.01.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
15.10.2022 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
12.05.2021 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-3 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
5-2
AWAY St. Mirren
1.90 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 3
230 Passes 183
67% Pass Accuracy 59%
30 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock ran out comfortable winners over St. Mirren 5-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 34% — and on the day Kilmarnock made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 53% of the ball to St. Mirren's 47%, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.90 to 0.74.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.67 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?

Kilmarnock 5-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 38%, draw 28%, St. Mirren 34%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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