Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Kilmarnock v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Kilmarnock 5-2 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
Kilmarnock dismantled St. Mirren 5-2. The 0-2 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
The match data tells the story: possession split 53% to 47% in Kilmarnock's favour, shots finished 13-7, expected goals 1.90 to 0.74.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Kilmarnock against 0.67 for St. Mirren.
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Result & Final Score
Kilmarnock 5 - 2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Kilmarnock vs St. Mirren Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 44%, draw 33%, St. Mirren 23%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.