Celtic 3-1 St. Johnstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 16 Mar 2024

Celtic
3-1 HT 1-0
St. Johnstone
📅16/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Celtic vs St. Johnstone Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
68%
1.18
Draw
19%
6.26
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
6.11
2-3 Goals
38%
2.08
4-5 Goals
28%
2.56
6+ Goals
14%
5.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
50%
1.27
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
6%
34.5
X/1
10%
3.41
X/2
4%
34.5
X/X
8%
11.05
2/1
8%
24.85
2/2
5%
27.5
2/X
5%
32.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
68%
Home Win
80%
-12.0pp
19%
Draw
13%
+5.5pp
13%
Away Win
7%
+6.5pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.3pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Celtic v St. Johnstone — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celtic EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
2.69/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/2.10
+20% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +21%
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
560 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 202 · 69%
44.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.0
28.6 Crosses 12.5
0.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Celtic vs St. Johnstone Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celtic
5W-1D-0L
AWAY St. Johnstone
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.64 xG 0.54
75% Ball Possession 25%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
650 Passes 142
88% Pass Accuracy 59%
44 Box Touches 10
26 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.12.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-3 HT 1-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
26.08.2023 Celtic Celtic 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
05.02.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-4 HT 1-3 Celtic Celtic İKP
24.12.2022 Celtic Celtic 4-1 HT 3-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
08.10.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-2 HT 0-1 Celtic Celtic İKP
09.04.2022 Celtic Celtic 7-0 HT 3-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP

Celtic 3-1 St. Johnstone — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celtic
3-1
AWAY St. Johnstone
3.85 xG 0.70
74% Ball Possession 26%
23 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
653 Passes 174
88% Pass Accuracy 65%
72 Box Touches 6
27 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Celtic vs St. Johnstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic got the better of St. Johnstone 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Celtic as the likeliest winner at 68%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Celtic had 74% of the ball to St. Johnstone's 26%, shots finished 23-6, expected goals 3.85 to 0.70.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Celtic and 0.67 for St. Johnstone.

What was the final score of Celtic vs St. Johnstone?

Celtic 3-1 St. Johnstone in the Scotland - Premiership on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celtic vs St. Johnstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 68%, with the full match-result split Celtic 68%, draw 19%, St. Johnstone 13%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celtic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celtic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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