Dundee FC 2-3 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Feb 2024

Dundee FC
2-3 HT 1-0
Hearts
📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2023/2024

Dundee FC vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.8
Over 2.5
53%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.12
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.71
6+ Goals
9%
15.7
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
4.15
1/2 EV+ ✓
13%
27.5
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
12%
5.85
X/2
12%
5.04
X/X
8%
4.48
2/1
9%
31.5
2/2
19%
3.37
2/X
8%
13.25
Value flag · 1/2 at 27.5 — our 13% vs market 1.6%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-3.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
39%
+5.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.1pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Dundee FC v Hearts — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 43%
-3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.27/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.27
+6% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
249 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
21.2 Crosses 19.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0

Dundee FC vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hearts
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.71 xG 1.45
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
159 Passes 439
61% Pass Accuracy 80%
16 Box Touches 27
13 Crosses 26
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.01.2024 Hearts Hearts 3-2 HT 0-2 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
27.08.2023 Dundee FC Dundee FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
09.02.2022 Hearts Hearts 1-2 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
18.12.2021 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
23.10.2021 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
06.03.2021 Hearts Hearts 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKCL

Dundee FC 2-3 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
2-3
AWAY Hearts
1.69 xG 1.76
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
265 Passes 405
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Box Touches 32
22 Crosses 18
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts edged past Dundee FC 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 42% of the ball to Hearts's 58%, shots finished 14-18, expected goals 1.69 to 1.76.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dundee FC and 1.33 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Hearts?

Dundee FC 2-3 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 30%, draw 26%, Hearts 44%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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