Aberdeen 1-1 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
59%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.94
4-5 Goals
25%
2.75
6+ Goals
12%
7.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
8.87
1/2
8%
20.1
1/X
5%
16.9
X/1
9%
12.4
X/2
15%
3.81
X/X
7%
6.74
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
36%
1.79
2/X
9%
16.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
17%
+3.2pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.7pp
59%
Away Win
63%
-3.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.6pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 67%
+1% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -7%
0.92/1.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/0.86
+33% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -17%
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
181 · 64% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 508 · 85%
14.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.2
15.1 Crosses 24.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aberdeen
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Celtic
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.42 xG 2.75
26% Ball Possession 75%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 10
2 Corners 9
150 Passes 633
62% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 49
9 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.11.2023 Celtic Celtic 6-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
13.08.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 1-3 HT 1-2 Celtic Celtic İKP
27.05.2023 Celtic Celtic 5-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
18.02.2023 Celtic Celtic 4-0 HT 2-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
17.12.2022 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-1 HT 0-0 Celtic Celtic İKP
31.07.2022 Celtic Celtic 2-0 HT 1-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aberdeen
1-1
AWAY Celtic
1.22 xG 2.04
29% Ball Possession 71%
7 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 12
163 Passes 531
62% Pass Accuracy 85%
9 Box Touches 42
10 Crosses 29
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Aberdeen vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aberdeen and Celtic shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Celtic carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aberdeen had 29% of the ball to Celtic's 71%, shots finished 7-22, expected goals 1.22 to 2.04.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celtic led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Aberdeen and 3.50 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Aberdeen 1-1 Celtic in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated an Celtic win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 20%, draw 21%, Celtic 59%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Celtic) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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