Hibernian 0-3 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 3 Feb 2024

📅03/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
4.17
6+ Goals
10%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.53
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.15
X/1
10%
4.1
X/2
8%
8.0
X/X
10%
4.25
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
12%
6.49
2/X
7%
14.85
Value flag · 1/X at 14.15 — our 10% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernian EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
1.26/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.29
-1% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
294 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 70%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
23.0 Crosses 26.1
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernian
4W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Mirren
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 1.10
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
310 Passes 218
74% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 2-2 HT 0-1 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
27.09.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 4-2 HT 0-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKLK
06.08.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-3 HT 0-2 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
06.05.2023 Hibernian Hibernian 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
04.02.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-1 HT 0-0 Hibernian Hibernian İKP
29.10.2022 Hibernian Hibernian 3-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernian
0-3
AWAY St. Mirren
0.41 xG 2.40
61% Ball Possession 39%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
380 Passes 207
77% Pass Accuracy 66%
20 Box Touches 28
28 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernian vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren ran out comfortable winners over Hibernian 3-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hibernian at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Hibernian had 61% of the ball to St. Mirren's 39%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.41 to 2.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernian had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hibernian and 1.33 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Hibernian vs St. Mirren?

Hibernian 0-3 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernian vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernian win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Hibernian 46%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 27%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernian) ✗ Under 2.5
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