Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Motherwell v Kilmarnock — Team-Based Signals
Motherwell vs Kilmarnock Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Motherwell
İKP
2-1
HT 0-1
Kilmarnock
İKP
2-0
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
1-1
HT 1-0
Motherwell
İKP
2-2
HT 1-0
Kilmarnock
İKP
2-1
HT 0-1
Motherwell
İKP
Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock — Actual Match Statistics
Motherwell and Kilmarnock couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 27% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.
On the day, Motherwell had 54% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 46%, shots finished 11-3, expected goals 1.14 to 0.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Motherwell and 1.17 for Kilmarnock.
What was the final score of Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Motherwell 1-1 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Kilmarnock?
Before kick-off our model rated an Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 34%, draw 27%, Kilmarnock 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Kilmarnock), BTTS No went the other way.