Morpeth Town 0-1 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.57
Draw
19%
3.54
Away
36%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.5
No
48%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
35%
+10.0pp
19%
Draw
25%
-5.4pp
36%
Away Win
40%
-4.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
62%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS No
38%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 45%
+15% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -19%
1.71/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.73
+14% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -14%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY United of Manchester
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 3-0 HT 2-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
14.10.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-5 HT 1-3 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-4 United of Manchester United of Manchester FAK
01.04.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
11.10.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 4-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
09.04.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United of Manchester edged past Morpeth Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Morpeth Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Morpeth Town and 1.83 for United of Manchester.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester?

Morpeth Town 0-1 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morpeth Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 45%, draw 19%, United of Manchester 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Morpeth Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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