Morpeth Town 3-0 United of Manchester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 24 Feb 2024

Morpeth Town
3-0 HT 2-0
United of Manchester
📅24/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.27
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
48%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.33
Over 2.5
57%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
24%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
40%
-8.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.3pp
48%
Away Win
36%
+12.0pp
43%
Under 2.5
39%
+4.2pp
57%
Over 2.5
61%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Morpeth Town v United of Manchester — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morpeth Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY United of Manchester EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -3%
1.67/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.46
+6% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +4%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
347 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2

Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morpeth Town
2W-0D-4L
AWAY United of Manchester
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
14.10.2023 United of Manchester United of Manchester 2-5 HT 1-3 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-4 United of Manchester United of Manchester FAK
01.04.2023 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 0-1 HT 0-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
11.10.2022 United of Manchester United of Manchester 4-2 HT 1-1 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
09.04.2022 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town 1-0 HT 1-0 United of Manchester United of Manchester İNGNLP
17.08.2021 United of Manchester United of Manchester 3-0 HT 1-0 Morpeth Town Morpeth Town İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Morpeth Town ran out comfortable winners over United of Manchester 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was United of Manchester at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, United of Manchester led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Morpeth Town and 2.33 for United of Manchester.

What was the final score of Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester?

Morpeth Town 3-0 United of Manchester in the England - Non League Premier on 24/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morpeth Town vs United of Manchester?

Before kick-off our model rated an United of Manchester win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Morpeth Town 31%, draw 21%, United of Manchester 48%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (United of Manchester), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (United of Manchester) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İNGNLP More England - Non League Premier
24 Feb 2024
18:00 Chatham Town vs Billericay Town Analysis →
18:00 Leamington vs Needham Market Analysis →
18:00 Haringey Borough vs Margate Analysis →
18:00 Basingstoke Town vs Plymouth Parkway Analysis →
18:00 Hitchin Town vs Bromsgrove Sporting Analysis →
18:00 Canvey Island vs Carshalton Athletic Analysis →