Royston Town 3-2 Barwell — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.03
Over 2.5
44%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.5pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Royston Town EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Barwell EU Bookmakers 36%
+6% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +2%
1.57/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.63
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
285 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Royston Town
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Barwell
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
23.03.2024 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Royston Town Royston Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 2-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 2-4 HT 1-3 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-1 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
09.11.2021 Royston Town Royston Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Royston Town vs Barwell
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Royston Town squeezed past Barwell 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Royston Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Barwell led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Royston Town and 2.50 for Barwell.

What was the final score of Royston Town vs Barwell?

Royston Town 3-2 Barwell in the England - Non League Premier on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Royston Town vs Barwell?

Before kick-off our model rated a Royston Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Royston Town 41%, draw 24%, Barwell 35%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Royston Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Royston Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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