Barwell 2-1 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.21
Over 2.5
45%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.53
No
53%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
18%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
32%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
61%
-13.9pp
53%
BTTS No
39%
+13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barwell EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 36%
+0% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.83/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.59
+16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +0%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barwell
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Royston Town
2.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Royston Town Royston Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
04.02.2023 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 2-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
27.09.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 2-4 HT 1-3 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
05.03.2022 Barwell Barwell 2-1 HT 1-1 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
09.11.2021 Royston Town Royston Town 2-2 HT 1-1 Barwell Barwell İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barwell
2-1
AWAY Royston Town
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barwell vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barwell squeezed past Royston Town 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Barwell as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Barwell had 46% of the ball to Royston Town's 54%, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Barwell had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.60 goals for Barwell and 1.20 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Barwell vs Royston Town?

Barwell 2-1 Royston Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barwell vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barwell win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Barwell 42%, draw 25%, Royston Town 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barwell) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barwell) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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