Gefle vs Varbergs Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Gefle v Varbergs — Team-Based Signals
Gefle vs Varbergs Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings
Gefle 0-4 Varbergs — Actual Match Statistics
Varbergs cruised past Gefle 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Gefle at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Gefle had 49% of the ball to Varbergs's 51%, shots finished 7-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Gefle and 3.00 for Varbergs.
What was the final score of Gefle vs Varbergs?
Gefle 0-4 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Gefle vs Varbergs?
Before kick-off our model rated a Gefle win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gefle 45%, draw 24%, Varbergs 31%. The final score 0-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.