Ljungskile 1-1 Oskarshamns AIK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
35%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
49%
-8.1pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
26%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 29%
-5% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +17%
1.63/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.44
-4% / +66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +13%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
261 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ljungskile
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.03.2024 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 2-1 HT 1-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
28.10.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-1 HT 1-1 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
13.05.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 HT 0-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
15.10.2022 Ljungskile Ljungskile 1-1 HT 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
04.06.2022 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 0-2 HT 0-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
14.08.2021 Ljungskile Ljungskile 1-1 HT 0-1 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ljungskile
1-1
AWAY Oskarshamns AIK
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ljungskile vs Oskarshamns AIK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ljungskile and Oskarshamns AIK couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ljungskile at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Ljungskile had 48% of the ball to Oskarshamns AIK's 52%, shots finished 8-12.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Ljungskile and 1.33 for Oskarshamns AIK.

What was the final score of Ljungskile vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Ljungskile 1-1 Oskarshamns AIK in the Sweden - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ljungskile vs Oskarshamns AIK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ljungskile win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ljungskile 41%, draw 24%, Oskarshamns AIK 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ljungskile), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ljungskile) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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