Oskarshamns AIK 2-1 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.33
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
33%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-4.3pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-3.5pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oskarshamns AIK EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 38%
-9% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -14%
1.22/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.90
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -27%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ljungskile
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 11
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.10.2023 Ljungskile Ljungskile 2-1 HT 1-1 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
13.05.2023 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 HT 0-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
15.10.2022 Ljungskile Ljungskile 1-1 HT 1-0 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
04.06.2022 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 0-2 HT 0-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
14.08.2021 Ljungskile Ljungskile 1-1 HT 0-1 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK İSÇ3
01.05.2021 Oskarshamns AIK Oskarshamns AIK 3-2 HT 1-0 Ljungskile Ljungskile İSÇ3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oskarshamns AIK
2-1
AWAY Ljungskile
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oskarshamns AIK vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oskarshamns AIK squeezed past Ljungskile 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Oskarshamns AIK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Oskarshamns AIK had 51% of the ball to Ljungskile's 49%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Oskarshamns AIK and 1.67 for Ljungskile.

What was the final score of Oskarshamns AIK vs Ljungskile?

Oskarshamns AIK 2-1 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oskarshamns AIK vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oskarshamns AIK win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Oskarshamns AIK 35%, draw 32%, Ljungskile 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Oskarshamns AIK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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