United Nordic 3-1 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 30 Mar 2024

📅30/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.82
Draw
21%
3.64
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.61
No
54%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
51%
+4.8pp
21%
Draw
24%
-3.0pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-1.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.6pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.0pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME United Nordic EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
2.63/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+49% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
382 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME United Nordic
3-1
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH United Nordic vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

United Nordic beat AFC Eskilstuna 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had United Nordic as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, United Nordic had 52% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 48%, shots finished 16-9.

What was the final score of United Nordic vs AFC Eskilstuna?

United Nordic 3-1 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 30/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for United Nordic vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a United Nordic win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split United Nordic 56%, draw 21%, AFC Eskilstuna 23%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (United Nordic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (United Nordic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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