Lehnerz 2-1 Astoria Walldorf — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.6pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.6pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lehnerz EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Astoria Walldorf EU Bookmakers 29%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +2%
2.13/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.69
+17% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lehnerz
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Astoria Walldorf
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.11.2023 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 2-1 HT 2-1 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
16.08.2023 Lehnerz Lehnerz 3-0 HT 1-0 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Lehnerz Lehnerz 1-3 HT 0-1 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Astoria Walldorf Astoria Walldorf 3-3 HT 0-3 Lehnerz Lehnerz ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lehnerz vs Astoria Walldorf
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lehnerz edged past Astoria Walldorf 2-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Lehnerz as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Astoria Walldorf led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Lehnerz and 2.00 for Astoria Walldorf.

What was the final score of Lehnerz vs Astoria Walldorf?

Lehnerz 2-1 Astoria Walldorf in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lehnerz vs Astoria Walldorf?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lehnerz win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Lehnerz 46%, draw 22%, Astoria Walldorf 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lehnerz) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lehnerz) ✗ BTTS No
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