Greifswalder SV 1-3 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
30%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.23
Over 2.5
54%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-4.4pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.1pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 38%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +21%
1.65/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.73/1.16
+2% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.01.2024 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 3-0 HT 1-0 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
05.08.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena got the better of Greifswalder SV 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Greifswalder SV at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Greifswalder SV and 0.75 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Greifswalder SV 1-3 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 41%, draw 29%, Carl Zeiss Jena 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Greifswalder SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
10 Aug 2024
14:00 BFC Dynamo vs Meuselwitz Analysis →
14:30 Luckenwalde vs Chemie Leipzig Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Trier vs FC Giessen Analysis →
15:00 Lehnerz vs Astoria Walldorf Analysis →
15:00 Bahlinger SC vs Göppinger SV Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Wuppertaler SV Analysis →