Greifswalder SV 3-0 Carl Zeiss Jena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.95
Over 2.5
42%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
12%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-10.2pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greifswalder SV EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena EU Bookmakers 31%
+19% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
2.57/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.06
+39% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +62%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greifswalder SV
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 1
05.08.2023 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-1 HT 0-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
12.02.2023 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV 0-1 HT 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena ALMBÖL
21.08.2022 Carl Zeiss Jena Carl Zeiss Jena 1-0 HT 1-0 Greifswalder SV Greifswalder SV ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greifswalder SV
3-0
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greifswalder SV ran out comfortable winners over Carl Zeiss Jena 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Greifswalder SV as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (55%) landed while under 2.5 goals (58%) missed.

On the day, Greifswalder SV had 55% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena's 45%, shots finished 13-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Carl Zeiss Jena led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Greifswalder SV and 1.00 for Carl Zeiss Jena.

What was the final score of Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Greifswalder SV 3-0 Carl Zeiss Jena in the Germany - Regional League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greifswalder SV win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Greifswalder SV 48%, draw 26%, Carl Zeiss Jena 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greifswalder SV), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Greifswalder SV) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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