Hertha Berlin II 3-1 Berliner AK 07 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 28 Jan 2024

📅28/01/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.94
Away
15%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.61
Over 2.5
55%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.56
No
50%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
29%
Draw
22%
+7.1pp
15%
Away Win
21%
-5.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
35%
+10.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
65%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Berliner AK 07 EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +22%
2.35/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/1.47
+20% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +28%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Berliner AK 07
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.08.2023 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 0-1 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
22.02.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-2 HT 0-1 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
16.04.2022 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 2-2 HT 1-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
02.11.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-1 HT 1-1 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
02.09.2020 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-5 HT 1-2 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 ALMBÖL
23.02.2020 Berliner AK 07 Berliner AK 07 3-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin II
3-1
AWAY Berliner AK 07
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 8
11 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Berliner AK 07
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin II beat Berliner AK 07 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Hertha Berlin II as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hertha Berlin II had 62% of the ball to Berliner AK 07's 38%, shots finished 14-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Berliner AK 07 led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 2.17 for Berliner AK 07.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Berliner AK 07?

Hertha Berlin II 3-1 Berliner AK 07 in the Germany - Regional League on 28/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Berliner AK 07?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 56%, draw 29%, Berliner AK 07 15%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hertha Berlin II), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
28 Jan 2024
15:00 Luckenwalde vs FSV Zwickau Analysis →
15:30 Greifswalder SV vs Carl Zeiss Jena Analysis →
16:00 Meppen vs Holstein Kiel II Analysis →