Deportivo Moron 1-1 Defensores Unidos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.92
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
48%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.9pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.4pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 26%
-12% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.95/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.55
-27% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Moron
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Defensores Unidos
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
23.03.2024 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
02.07.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
26.02.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
POST-MATCH Deportivo Moron vs Defensores Unidos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Moron and Defensores Unidos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Moron at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (65%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Defensores Unidos led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Deportivo Moron and 1.33 for Defensores Unidos.

What was the final score of Deportivo Moron vs Defensores Unidos?

Deportivo Moron 1-1 Defensores Unidos in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Moron vs Defensores Unidos?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Moron win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Moron 48%, draw 31%, Defensores Unidos 21%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Moron), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Moron) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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