Defensores Unidos 2-0 Deportivo Moron — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
31%
2.88
Away
29%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.19
No
59%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
18%
2/1
12%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+5.5pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
34%
-4.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.3pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.0pp
59%
BTTS No
58%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Defensores Unidos EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Moron EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -8%
1.28/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.26
+15% / +89% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
360 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Defensores Unidos
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Deportivo Moron
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
02.07.2023 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron 1-0 HT 0-0 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos ARJPBN
26.02.2023 Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Moron Deportivo Moron ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Defensores Unidos
2-0
AWAY Deportivo Moron
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 7
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Moron
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Defensores Unidos got the better of Deportivo Moron 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Defensores Unidos made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Defensores Unidos had 43% of the ball to Deportivo Moron's 57%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Defensores Unidos and 0.50 for Deportivo Moron.

What was the final score of Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Moron?

Defensores Unidos 2-0 Deportivo Moron in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo Moron?

Before kick-off our model rated a Defensores Unidos win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Defensores Unidos 40%, draw 31%, Deportivo Moron 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Defensores Unidos), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Defensores Unidos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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