Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.47
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
37%
-2.7pp
33%
Draw
32%
+2.0pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.2pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estudiantes Caseros EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi EU Bookmakers 34%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
0.98/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.14
-13% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
255 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estudiantes Caseros
1-0
AWAY Arsenal Sarandi
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 5
8 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Estudiantes Caseros vs Arsenal Sarandi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estudiantes Caseros nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Sarandi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 32% — and on the day Estudiantes Caseros made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Estudiantes Caseros had 49% of the ball to Arsenal Sarandi's 51%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Estudiantes Caseros vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Estudiantes Caseros 1-0 Arsenal Sarandi in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estudiantes Caseros vs Arsenal Sarandi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estudiantes Caseros win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Estudiantes Caseros 34%, draw 33%, Arsenal Sarandi 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Estudiantes Caseros) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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