San Telmo vs Almagro Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
San Telmo v Almagro — Team-Based Signals
San Telmo vs Almagro Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
San Telmo
ARJPBN
3-2
HT 2-0
Almagro
ARJPBN
2-1
HT 0-1
San Telmo
ARJPBN
2-1
HT 1-0
Almagro
ARJPBN
1-0
HT 1-0
San Telmo
ARJPBN
San Telmo 4-1 Almagro — Actual Match Statistics
San Telmo ran out comfortable winners over Almagro 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had San Telmo as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, San Telmo had 53% of the ball to Almagro's 47%, shots finished 12-5.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Almagro led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for San Telmo and 1.60 for Almagro.
What was the final score of San Telmo vs Almagro?
San Telmo 4-1 Almagro in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for San Telmo vs Almagro?
Before kick-off our model rated a San Telmo win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split San Telmo 41%, draw 34%, Almagro 25%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (San Telmo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.