Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Tristan Suarez — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - National Primera Liga, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.05
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
32%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
45%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Maipu EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Tristan Suarez EU Bookmakers 31%
+5% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -9%
1.39/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.53
+8% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -24%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 267 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Maipu
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Tristan Suarez
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
09.07.2023 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 3-2 HT 3-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
04.03.2023 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 0-4 HT 0-4 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu ARJPBN
17.05.2022 Deportivo Maipu Deportivo Maipu 1-1 HT 1-0 Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez ARJPBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Maipu
1-0
AWAY Tristan Suarez
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Maipu squeezed past Tristan Suarez 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Deportivo Maipu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Deportivo Maipu had 48% of the ball to Tristan Suarez's 52%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Deportivo Maipu had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Deportivo Maipu and 1.00 for Tristan Suarez.

What was the final score of Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez?

Deportivo Maipu 1-0 Tristan Suarez in the Argentina - National Primera Liga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Maipu vs Tristan Suarez?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Maipu win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Maipu 40%, draw 28%, Tristan Suarez 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Maipu), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Maipu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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