NWS Spirit 4-2 Blacktown City Demons — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.38
Over 2.5
56%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.6
No
46%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+9.7pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.8pp
45%
Away Win
57%
-12.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
38%
+6.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
62%
-6.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.9pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Blacktown City Demons EU Bookmakers 62%
+40% / +40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.94/2.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.93/0.91
+13% / +129% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / +22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
302 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 27.4
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NWS Spirit
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Blacktown City Demons
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.86 xG 1.65
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 9
324 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Crosses 32
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.05.2024 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 3-1 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
03.06.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 3-2 HT 3-0 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons AVNPL
19.02.2023 Blacktown City Demons Blacktown City Demons 1-2 HT 1-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
POST-MATCH NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City Demons
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit saw off Blacktown City Demons 4-2. Half-time: 4-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Blacktown City Demons at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, NWS Spirit had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for NWS Spirit and 2.00 for Blacktown City Demons.

What was the final score of NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City Demons?

NWS Spirit 4-2 Blacktown City Demons in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NWS Spirit vs Blacktown City Demons?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blacktown City Demons win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split NWS Spirit 31%, draw 24%, Blacktown City Demons 45%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Blacktown City Demons) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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