Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.38
Over 2.5
62%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.46
No
40%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.6pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.7pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.3pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
-0.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
+0.0pp
60%
BTTS Yes
64%
-4.0pp
40%
BTTS No
36%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -23%
1.43/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.47/0.95
+25% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -37%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
321 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.5 Crosses 11.4
2.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Brisbane Olympic FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.93 xG 0.73
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
248 Passes 474
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
6 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
16.06.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
14.03.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-2 HT 2-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
20.08.2022 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-4 HT 0-3 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
17.07.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
02.10.2021 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Olympic FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Coast Wanderers edged past Brisbane Olympic FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Sunshine Coast Wanderers found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sunshine Coast Wanderers had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 0.50 for Brisbane Olympic FC.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC in the Australia - National Premier League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Brisbane Olympic FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brisbane Olympic FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 36%, draw 25%, Brisbane Olympic FC 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Brisbane Olympic FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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