Salzburg 5-1 Blau-Weiss Linz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
24%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.59
Over 2.5
61%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
5.79
2-3 Goals
35%
2.04
4-5 Goals
32%
2.61
6+ Goals
12%
6.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.62
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
7%
19.05
X/1
22%
3.71
X/2
10%
15.5
X/X
10%
7.94
2/1
8%
19.7
2/2
6%
10.8
2/X
6%
19.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
68%
-14.5pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.5pp
24%
Away Win
14%
+10.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
35%
+4.6pp
61%
Over 2.5
65%
-4.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.8pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salzburg EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 17%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
2.65/0.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.83
+36% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 74%
32.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
19.9 Crosses 13.4
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salzburg
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.75 xG 0.53
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
595 Passes 150
86% Pass Accuracy 58%
23 Box Touches 8
21 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 HT 1-1 Salzburg Salzburg AVU
23.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
22.01.2019 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salzburg
5-1
AWAY Blau-Weiss Linz
4.14 xG 0.34
79% Ball Possession 21%
30 Total Shots 3
9 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 1
664 Passes 110
91% Pass Accuracy 59%
71 Box Touches 8
11 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salzburg swept aside Blau-Weiss Linz 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Salzburg as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Salzburg had 79% of the ball to Blau-Weiss Linz's 21%, shots finished 30-3, expected goals 4.14 to 0.34.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salzburg and 1.33 for Blau-Weiss Linz.

What was the final score of Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Salzburg 5-1 Blau-Weiss Linz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salzburg vs Blau-Weiss Linz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Salzburg 54%, draw 23%, Blau-Weiss Linz 24%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salzburg), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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