Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 Salzburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

Blau-Weiss Linz
1-1 HT 1-1
Salzburg
📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Austria - Bundesliga – 2023/2024

Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
5.4
Draw
21%
3.94
Away
56%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
3.64
6+ Goals
11%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
11.15
1/2
9%
25.0
1/X
6%
19.0
X/1
10%
12.95
X/2
24%
3.47
X/X
9%
5.29
2/1
8%
34.0
2/2
23%
1.81
2/X
6%
17.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
15%
+8.1pp
21%
Draw
22%
-1.4pp
56%
Away Win
63%
-6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
-0.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
+0.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.3pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Blau-Weiss Linz v Salzburg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Salzburg EU Bookmakers 67%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +4%
1.15/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/0.93
+54% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +3%
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
197 · 63% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 76%
23.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
15.5 Crosses 18.4
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Salzburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.53 xG 1.75
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 4
150 Passes 595
58% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 23
4 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
23.09.2023 Salzburg Salzburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz AVU
22.01.2019 Salzburg Salzburg 3-2 HT 1-1 Blau-Weiss Linz Blau-Weiss Linz HAZ

Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 Salzburg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Blau-Weiss Linz
1-1
AWAY Salzburg
50% Ball Possession 50%
6 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blau-Weiss Linz and Salzburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Salzburg carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Blau-Weiss Linz had 50% of the ball to Salzburg's 50%, shots finished 6-19.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Blau-Weiss Linz and 1.50 for Salzburg.

What was the final score of Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg?

Blau-Weiss Linz 1-1 Salzburg in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Blau-Weiss Linz vs Salzburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Salzburg win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Blau-Weiss Linz 24%, draw 21%, Salzburg 56%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Salzburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Salzburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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