Austria Wien 2-1 Rheindorf Altach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 17 Feb 2024

📅17/02/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.8
Over 2.5
47%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.09
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.7
6+ Goals
8%
15.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.42
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.09
X/2
7%
8.23
X/X
10%
4.58
2/1
7%
24.6
2/2
9%
6.42
2/X
8%
14.55
Value flag · 1/X at 13.9 — our 12% vs market 4.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-1.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-1.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Austria Wien EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rheindorf Altach EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.77/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.25
+34% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +14%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 68%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.9
19.3 Crosses 16.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Austria Wien
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.93 xG 0.90
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
345 Passes 287
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
26 Box Touches 14
19 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 2-1 HT 2-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
30.10.2022 Austria Wien Austria Wien 2-1 HT 0-1 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
07.08.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 3-2 HT 0-1 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
12.02.2022 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 0-2 HT 0-2 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
18.09.2021 Austria Wien Austria Wien 0-0 HT 0-0 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach AVU
08.05.2021 Rheindorf Altach Rheindorf Altach 2-1 HT 2-0 Austria Wien Austria Wien AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Austria Wien
2-1
AWAY Rheindorf Altach
0.98 xG 1.36
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
264 Passes 220
73% Pass Accuracy 71%
20 Box Touches 29
7 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Austria Wien vs Rheindorf Altach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Austria Wien squeezed past Rheindorf Altach 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Austria Wien as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Austria Wien had 52% of the ball to Rheindorf Altach's 48%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.98 to 1.36.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rheindorf Altach led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Austria Wien and 1.33 for Rheindorf Altach.

What was the final score of Austria Wien vs Rheindorf Altach?

Austria Wien 2-1 Rheindorf Altach in the Austria - Bundesliga on 17/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Austria Wien vs Rheindorf Altach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Austria Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Austria Wien 49%, draw 30%, Rheindorf Altach 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Austria Wien) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Austria Wien) ✗ Under 2.5
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