Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Shamakhi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.67
Over 2.5
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.0pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.8pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Araz Nahçıvan EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Shamakhi EU Bookmakers 38%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -16%
0.52/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.41
-57% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
POST-MATCH Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Araz Nahçıvan nicked a narrow win over Shamakhi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 34%) promised a tight game; Araz Nahçıvan found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi?

Araz Nahçıvan 1-0 Shamakhi in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Araz Nahçıvan vs Shamakhi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Araz Nahçıvan win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Araz Nahçıvan 39%, draw 27%, Shamakhi 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Araz Nahçıvan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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