Sebail FK 1-1 Neftçi PFK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Azerbaijan - Super League, 10 Aug 2024

Sebail FK
1-1 HT 0-1
Neftçi PFK
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Azerbaijan - Super League – 2025/2026

Sebail FK vs Neftçi PFK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.65
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
44%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
23%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
18%
+12.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
58%
-13.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.5pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sebail FK v Neftçi PFK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sebail FK EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Neftçi PFK EU Bookmakers 62%
+3% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.21/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.89/0.40
+22% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +42%
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
196 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 431 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Sebail FK vs Neftçi PFK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sebail FK
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Neftçi PFK
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
18.05.2024 Sebail FK Sebail FK 0-3 HT 0-0 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
15.03.2024 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 2-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
20.10.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 2-4 HT 1-2 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
14.08.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 1-1 HT 0-1 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
22.04.2023 Sebail FK Sebail FK 1-1 HT 1-1 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK AZERS
18.02.2023 Neftçi PFK Neftçi PFK 3-0 HT 1-0 Sebail FK Sebail FK AZERS
POST-MATCH Sebail FK vs Neftçi PFK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sebail FK and Neftçi PFK shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Neftçi PFK at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neftçi PFK led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Sebail FK and 2.50 for Neftçi PFK.

What was the final score of Sebail FK vs Neftçi PFK?

Sebail FK 1-1 Neftçi PFK in the Azerbaijan - Super League on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sebail FK vs Neftçi PFK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Neftçi PFK win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sebail FK 31%, draw 25%, Neftçi PFK 44%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Neftçi PFK), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Neftçi PFK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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