Orsha 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
41%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
31%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
41%
Away Win
44%
-2.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.2pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orsha EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 48%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -50% / -50%
1.31/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.21
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -47%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
269 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orsha
0W-0D-6L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
13.04.2024 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 3-0 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
04.11.2023 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
02.07.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 HT 1-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
23.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
08.08.2021 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
16.05.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orsha
1-1
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Orsha vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orsha and FC Volna Pinsk shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was FC Volna Pinsk at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Orsha had 54% of the ball to FC Volna Pinsk's 46%, shots finished 18-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Orsha and 1.83 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Orsha vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Orsha 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orsha vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Orsha 33%, draw 26%, FC Volna Pinsk 41%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✗ Over 2.5
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