FC Volna Pinsk 3-0 Orsha — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.35
Away
39%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.43
Over 2.5
65%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.0pp
39%
Away Win
28%
+10.8pp
35%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.8pp
65%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Orsha EU Bookmakers 32%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.06/1.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.62/1.27
+36% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Orsha
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
04.11.2023 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
02.07.2023 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 3-2 HT 1-2 Orsha Orsha BLR1
23.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-1 HT 0-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
08.08.2021 Orsha Orsha 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
16.05.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Orsha Orsha BLR1
07.11.2020 Orsha Orsha 3-2 HT 0-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Orsha
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk cruised past Orsha 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 21% / 39% — and on the day FC Volna Pinsk made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (65%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Volna Pinsk had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 1.00 for Orsha.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Orsha?

FC Volna Pinsk 3-0 Orsha in the Belarus - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Orsha?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 40%, draw 21%, Orsha 39%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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