Ostrovets FC 1-0 Shakhtyor Petrikov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.89
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
35%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.38
Over 2.5
64%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
No
43%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-7.1pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.7pp
35%
Away Win
25%
+9.9pp
36%
Under 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ostrovets FC EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov EU Bookmakers 29%
-33% / -33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.60/3.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/2.26
-9% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ostrovets FC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Shakhtyor Petrikov
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
09.09.2023 Ostrovets FC Ostrovets FC 3-1 HT 2-1 Shakhtyor Petrikov Shakhtyor Petrikov BLR1
POST-MATCH Ostrovets FC vs Shakhtyor Petrikov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ostrovets FC squeezed past Shakhtyor Petrikov 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Ostrovets FC as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Ostrovets FC vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Ostrovets FC 1-0 Shakhtyor Petrikov in the Belarus - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ostrovets FC vs Shakhtyor Petrikov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ostrovets FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ostrovets FC 42%, draw 23%, Shakhtyor Petrikov 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ostrovets FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ostrovets FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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