PFC Beroe 0-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
41%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.56
Over 2.5
47%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.99
No
50%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
37%
-5.9pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.7pp
41%
Away Win
34%
+6.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
46%
+3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
54%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PFC Beroe EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 38%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.71/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.84
-40% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +85% / -61%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PFC Beroe
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe 2-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv BUL1
20.10.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 1-2 HT 0-2 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
13.03.2023 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 0-0 HT 0-0 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe BUL1
23.03.2019 Lokomotiv Plovdiv Lokomotiv Plovdiv 3-3 HT 1-3 PFC Beroe PFC Beroe HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PFC Beroe
0-2
AWAY Lokomotiv Plovdiv
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 0
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Plovdiv saw off PFC Beroe 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotiv Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PFC Beroe had 51% of the ball to Lokomotiv Plovdiv's 49%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, PFC Beroe had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for PFC Beroe and 1.50 for Lokomotiv Plovdiv.

What was the final score of PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

PFC Beroe 0-2 Lokomotiv Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PFC Beroe vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split PFC Beroe 31%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Plovdiv 41%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotiv Plovdiv) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
10 Aug 2024
21:15 Levski Sofia vs Levski Krumovgrad Analysis →