Naesby 0-2 Holstebro BK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 3rd Division, 10 Aug 2024

Naesby
0-2 HT 0-1
Holstebro BK
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Denmark - 3rd Division – 2024/2025

Naesby vs Holstebro BK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
38%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
50%
-12.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
38%
Away Win
26%
+11.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naesby v Holstebro BK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naesby EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Holstebro BK EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
2.47/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.11
+35% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +73% / +58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
299 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.1 Yellow Cards 0.9

Naesby vs Holstebro BK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naesby
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Holstebro BK
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 14
8 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.03.2024 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-0 HT 1-0 Naesby Naesby DAN3
30.09.2023 Naesby Naesby 1-2 HT 1-1 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
12.03.2023 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-2 HT 0-1 Naesby Naesby DAN3
03.09.2022 Naesby Naesby 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN3
01.05.2021 Naesby Naesby 1-0 HT 1-0 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK DAN2
08.11.2020 Holstebro BK Holstebro BK 1-5 HT 1-1 Naesby Naesby DAN2
POST-MATCH Naesby vs Holstebro BK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstebro BK beat Naesby 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Holstebro BK found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Naesby had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Naesby and 0.83 for Holstebro BK.

What was the final score of Naesby vs Holstebro BK?

Naesby 0-2 Holstebro BK in the Denmark - 3rd Division on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naesby vs Holstebro BK?

Before kick-off our model rated an Holstebro BK win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naesby 37%, draw 25%, Holstebro BK 38%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Holstebro BK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Holstebro BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
DAN3 More Denmark - 3rd Division
10 Aug 2024
14:15 Lyseng vs FA 2000 Analysis →
15:00 Sundby vs VSK Arhus Analysis →
15:00 Silkeborg KFUM vs Odder Analysis →
15:00 Brabrand vs Avarta Analysis →