Oulu 1-0 Inter Turku — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 10 Aug 2024

📅10/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.29
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
3.96
6+ Goals
10%
18.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.94 — our 34% vs market 28.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.45
1/2
10%
26.5
1/X
5%
14.4
X/1
15%
7.05
X/2
14%
4.36
X/X
13%
4.45
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
16%
2.8
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
27%
+7.3pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
40%
Away Win
46%
-5.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.3pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oulu EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Inter Turku EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.87/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/0.77
-26% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 81%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.7
12.0 Crosses 21.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Oulu
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Inter Turku
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.98 xG 1.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
394 Passes 238
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 25
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2024 Inter Turku Inter Turku 3-3 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
03.09.2023 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
11.06.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
18.03.2023 Oulu Oulu 1-1 HT 0-1 Inter Turku Inter Turku FLK
21.08.2022 Oulu Oulu 0-3 HT 0-0 Inter Turku Inter Turku FİN
09.04.2022 Inter Turku Inter Turku 2-1 HT 1-1 Oulu Oulu FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oulu
1-0
AWAY Inter Turku
0.25 xG 1.47
31% Ball Possession 69%
4 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 3
196 Passes 549
71% Pass Accuracy 90%
6 Box Touches 20
3 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Oulu vs Inter Turku
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oulu squeezed past Inter Turku 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 25% / 40%) promised a tight game; Oulu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Oulu had 31% of the ball to Inter Turku's 69%, shots finished 4-15, expected goals 0.25 to 1.47 — on chances, Inter Turku could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Inter Turku led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Oulu and 2.00 for Inter Turku.

What was the final score of Oulu vs Inter Turku?

Oulu 1-0 Inter Turku in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oulu vs Inter Turku?

Before kick-off our model rated an Inter Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Oulu 35%, draw 25%, Inter Turku 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Inter Turku) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Inter Turku) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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